GeoMemo
Daily Intelligence • December 15, 2025
Daily Intelligence • December 15, 2025
Top News
EU Foreign Policy Chief warns that Putin's goals extend beyond Donbas, and territorial concessions would embolden him, as Ukraine seeks Western security guarantees to end the war with Russia, emphasizing the need for strong security guarantees and a unified European doctrine. (Українська правда - Ivanna Kostina)
Chatham House: Chatham House suggests Europe needs a doctrine to counter Putin's expansionist ambitions, citing the need for a unified strategy to defend against Russian aggression and protect Western security interests.
Iran Front Page: Ukraine drops NATO membership bid for Western security guarantees to end war with Russia
Thailand denies ceasefire agreement with Cambodia, contradicting US President Trump's claim, as border clashes continue and tensions remain high despite reported renewal of ceasefire. (NYT > World News - Sui-Lee Wee and Sun Narin)
https://saudigazette.com.sa/: US President Trump announces Thailand and Cambodia agree to stop border fighting
https://saudigazette.com.sa/: Fighting between Thailand and Cambodia continues despite US President Trump's claim of a ceasefire agreement
World News: Thailand and Cambodia accuse each other of targeting civilians amid border clashes
VnExpress English: Cambodia shut border crossings with Thailand due to deadly fighting, despite US claim of truce
World News Today: International News Headlines - The Hindu | The Hindu: Thailand and Cambodia agree to renew ceasefire after clashes, announced by Trump
BCG experts outline six key arenas of competition in a multipolar world, driven by geopolitical forces shaping global trade, tech, and talent, requiring businesses to adapt and build resilience. (Boston Consulting Group - Aparna Bharadwaj, Marc Gilbert, Thomas Gratowski, Nikolaus Lang, Kasey Maggard, Claudia Wilson)
Geopolitical Conflict
Russia bombs Odesa port, causing power outages, amid ongoing peace talks, as Ukraine claims to have struck a Russian submarine and the US advises withdrawal from Donetsky region for a potential peace deal. (NYT > World News - Kim Barker)
World: Ukraine damages Russian Kilo-class submarine with underwater drones in Novorossiysk port
World: MI6 head warns Russia is exporting chaos, UK support for Ukraine is enduring
پایگاه خبری تحلیلی انتخاب | Entekhab.ir: US tells Ukraine to withdraw from Donetsky region for peace deal: Reuters
US troops in Syria face deadly IS attack, killing 3 Americans, complicating President al-Sharaa's unification efforts and prompting a vow of retaliation from President Trump. (NYT > World News - Abdi Latif Dahir and Eric Schmitt)
Sydney Morning Herald - World: Trump vows retaliation after IS kills two US service members and one American civilian in Syria
The Age - World: US President Trump vows retaliation after IS kills two US service members and one American civilian in Syria
US accuses Rwanda of violating a peace agreement with the Democratic Republic of Congo, amid ongoing M23 rebel attacks in Kinshasa. (AP - Evan Vucci - Azima Bashir Aminu)
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky offers to drop NATO membership goal in exchange for Western security guarantees during talks with US envoys in Berlin. (Sydney Morning Herald - World - Friederike Heine, Matthias Williams, Olena Harmash)
Militant groups are exploiting AI, raising national security concerns, as they use the technology to recruit, create deepfakes, and refine cyberattacks, prompting lawmakers to propose legislation to counter the threat. (World News Today: International News Headlines - The Hindu | The Hindu )
Geopolitical Economics
Anadolu Ajansı: EU acknowledges Belgium's concerns over Ukraine reparations loan, with foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas stating that member states are willing to share the burden, ahead of a European Council meeting to decide on Ukraine's funding.
Council on Foreign Relations: Council on Foreign Relations discusses utilizing Russia's frozen assets
https://saudigazette.com.sa/: EU governments agree to freeze €210bn in Russian assets to support Ukraine indefinitely
World News Today: International News Headlines - The Hindu | The Hindu: EU set to indefinitely freeze Russian assets, removing obstacle to Ukraine loan
Energy Reporters: Venezuela's oil exports decline after US seizes tanker, sparking economic stability and global supply concerns
Discovery Alert: US disrupts Venezuela-Cuba oil partnership with sophisticated regulatory approaches, targeting financial intermediaries and transportation networks to reshape economic dependencies.
Dailynewsegypt: Egypt plans to drill 480 exploratory wells with $5.7bn investment over five years
Arabian Post: Middle East crude markets show strain as supply exceeds demand, softening global oil fundamentals
Russia's Central Bank seeks $229.36 billion in damages from Euroclear, a Belgian securities depository, in a Moscow court, in response to EU plans to use frozen assets to aid Ukraine. (World News Today: International News Headlines - The Hindu | The Hindu )
Global Markets
Lightspeed Venture Partners raises $9 billion for AI investments, its largest haul yet (NYT > Top Stories - Erin Griffith)
Geopolitical Politics
Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan faces uncertainty, lacking detail, awaiting next steps. (NYT > World News - Adam Rasgon, Natan Odenheimer and Aaron Boxerman)
Australia to reform gun laws after Bondi Beach attack, new restrictions planned (NYT > World News - Amelia Nierenberg and Jin Yu Young)
Chile elects far-right president José Antonio Kast with 58.6% of votes, sparking mixed reactions amid concerns over his extremist views and family ties to Nazism. (Noticias de Colombia | El Colombiano )
Noticias de Colombia | El Colombiano: Chile's presidential election: Conservative José Antonio Kast wins with 58.6% of votes, sparking reactions from Colombian politicians, with some celebrating the defeat of communism in Latin America.
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